Selasa, 12 Oktober 2010

Analis Vietnam: Indonesia Siapkan Dana 16,6 Milyar USD Untuk Beli Pesawat Tempur?

Recent information, "Global Aircraft" news, in the next 5 years, Indonesian Defense Ministry plans to buy fighter jets and helicopters to equip the Army Air Force and 150 trillion rupiah ($16,6 billion).

Analysis of the experts pointed out that, although not all projects are done shopping at this stage, but Indonesia is in the process of implementing at least part of this project.


According to the International Monetary Fund, Indonesia's GDP growth in 2011 would be about 6.2%. Predicted growth rate of its GDP will reach 7% in 2015. While the defense budget in 2011 identified about $ 5 billion, the economic growth in the next 5 years will allow to increase the defense budget.

Total defense budget is expected in 2011-2015 estimated 27.5 billion dollars. However, the maximum amount that can be used to buy weapons will not exceed 30% and about 8.25 billion dollars. Planned by the Indonesian Ministry of Defense, 2 / 3 in the amount of U.S. $ 16.6 billion announced proposed allocation from the national budget, about $ 11 billion and the remainder (5.6 billion) will be provided in the form of credit.

From the above data may suggest that the actual amount may be drawn from the state budget will be about 2.75 billion dollars less than the declared accounts used to buy fighter aircraft and helicopters. Furthermore the amount of 8.25 billion dollars Indonesian Defense Ministry intends to purchase and upgrade weapons in 2011-2015 will not only focus on the purchase of warplanes and helicopters but also to buy many more weapons.

Assume that if Indonesia can give priority to upgrading the aircraft, defense spending in the coming period will be used for about 2 / 3 the total amount, ie a maximum of $ 5.4 billion, the actual child This number will not exceed $ 5 billion.

And so, the figure raised for aircraft procurement in the amount of about $ 5.6 billion is too high. Actual amount mobilized credit will only reach about 2.5 to 3 billion. Taking into account the priorities they can only assume that two thirds of this amount can be allocated for the purchase of equipment the Air Force, which is about $ 2 billion.

As assessed by analysis TSAMTO centers, the total maximum amount will be allocated for the purchase of aircraft for Indonesia in 2011-2015 will not exceed $ 7 billion. Therefore, the aircraft procurement funding in the amount claimed to U.S. $ 16.6 billion can be made during the period 12-15 years rather than 5 years. Thus, it appears more realistic with the previous statement of the Indonesian Defense Ministry on the purchase to 180 aircraft to equip the Air Force Sukhoi in 15 years. Own expenses for this program has reached $ 8 billion.

In addition, Indonesia also signed a memorandum of understanding (July 2010) with South Korea about the plan in the next 10 years will buy about 50 fighters of the country's KF-X. Indonesia has agreed to spend 20% (820 million) fund development projects (total cost estimated at 4.1 billion dollars), own funds to purchase 50 aircraft worth an estimated $ 2.2 billion. That is the Southeast Asian country to spend a total of $ 3 billion for the above project.

Indonesia has also announced ambitious plans to modernize the fleet of aircraft is included 2 Su-27SK and two Su-30MK, as well as the F-5E Tiger and F-16A / B Falcon. Previously, it has also announced its intention to purchase new military transport aircraft, patrol aircraft and usually a large number of helicopter types.

In summary, with the financial capacity of Indonesia all these programs require a minimum it would take 15 years to implement fully.


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